Horizon Collapse
What It Looks Like in the Wild
Aggressive focus on immediate results prevents visibility into second-order consequences. Strategy discussions collapse into reaction management. Long-term positioning erodes without explicit decision to abandon it.
## Trigger Signals
- Strategy discussions collapse into reaction
- Second-order effects invisible in planning
- Long-term positioning erodes silently
- "We'll deal with that later" as default
## Why It Persists
Near-term results are measurable and rewarded. Long-term effects are uncertain and distant. The incentive structure privileges now over later.
## Common Misdiagnosis
- "We need to be more agile"
- "The market is moving fast"
- "We'll get to strategy later"
- "Execution is what matters right now"
## Cost of Ignoring
Long-term positioning erodes invisibly. Competitive advantage decays. The organization becomes reactive by default. Strategic optionality disappears.
Trigger Signals
- Strategy discussions collapse into reaction
- Second-order effects invisible in planning
- Long-term positioning erodes silently
- "We'll deal with that later" as default
## Why It Persists
Near-term results are measurable and rewarded. Long-term effects are uncertain and distant. The incentive structure privileges now over later.
## Common Misdiagnosis
- "We need to be more agile"
- "The market is moving fast"
- "We'll get to strategy later"
- "Execution is what matters right now"
## Cost of Ignoring
Long-term positioning erodes invisibly. Competitive advantage decays. The organization becomes reactive by default. Strategic optionality disappears.
Why It Persists
Near-term results are measurable and rewarded. Long-term effects are uncertain and distant. The incentive structure privileges now over later.
## Common Misdiagnosis
- "We need to be more agile"
- "The market is moving fast"
- "We'll get to strategy later"
- "Execution is what matters right now"
## Cost of Ignoring
Long-term positioning erodes invisibly. Competitive advantage decays. The organization becomes reactive by default. Strategic optionality disappears.
Reality
Near-term execution consumes all attention. Second-order effects are invisible in planning. Strategy collapses into a sequence of reactions. The horizon shrinks without anyone deciding to shrink it.
## What It Looks Like In the Wild
Aggressive focus on immediate results prevents visibility into second-order consequences. Strategy discussions collapse into reaction management. Long-term positioning erodes without explicit decision to abandon it.
## Trigger Signals
- Strategy discussions collapse into reaction
- Second-order effects invisible in planning
- Long-term positioning erodes silently
- "We'll deal with that later" as default
## Why It Persists
Near-term results are measurable and rewarded. Long-term effects are uncertain and distant. The incentive structure privileges now over later.
## Common Misdiagnosis
- "We need to be more agile"
- "The market is moving fast"
- "We'll get to strategy later"
- "Execution is what matters right now"
## Cost of Ignoring
Long-term positioning erodes invisibly. Competitive advantage decays. The organization becomes reactive by default. Strategic optionality disappears.
Common Misdiagnosis
- "We need to be more agile"
- "The market is moving fast"
- "We'll get to strategy later"
- "Execution is what matters right now"
## Cost of Ignoring
Long-term positioning erodes invisibly. Competitive advantage decays. The organization becomes reactive by default. Strategic optionality disappears.
Cost of Ignoring
Long-term positioning erodes invisibly. Competitive advantage decays. The organization becomes reactive by default. Strategic optionality disappears.