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FFN-17 · Functional Field Note

Horizon Collapse

Domain:
Confidence: Observed
Status: Draft

What It Looks Like in the Wild

Aggressive focus on immediate results prevents visibility into second-order consequences. Strategy discussions collapse into reaction management. Long-term positioning erodes without explicit decision to abandon it.

## Trigger Signals

  • Strategy discussions collapse into reaction
  • Second-order effects invisible in planning
  • Long-term positioning erodes silently
  • "We'll deal with that later" as default

## Why It Persists

Near-term results are measurable and rewarded. Long-term effects are uncertain and distant. The incentive structure privileges now over later.

## Common Misdiagnosis

  • "We need to be more agile"
  • "The market is moving fast"
  • "We'll get to strategy later"
  • "Execution is what matters right now"

## Cost of Ignoring

Long-term positioning erodes invisibly. Competitive advantage decays. The organization becomes reactive by default. Strategic optionality disappears.

Trigger Signals

  • Strategy discussions collapse into reaction
  • Second-order effects invisible in planning
  • Long-term positioning erodes silently
  • "We'll deal with that later" as default

## Why It Persists

Near-term results are measurable and rewarded. Long-term effects are uncertain and distant. The incentive structure privileges now over later.

## Common Misdiagnosis

  • "We need to be more agile"
  • "The market is moving fast"
  • "We'll get to strategy later"
  • "Execution is what matters right now"

## Cost of Ignoring

Long-term positioning erodes invisibly. Competitive advantage decays. The organization becomes reactive by default. Strategic optionality disappears.

Why It Persists

Near-term results are measurable and rewarded. Long-term effects are uncertain and distant. The incentive structure privileges now over later.

## Common Misdiagnosis

  • "We need to be more agile"
  • "The market is moving fast"
  • "We'll get to strategy later"
  • "Execution is what matters right now"

## Cost of Ignoring

Long-term positioning erodes invisibly. Competitive advantage decays. The organization becomes reactive by default. Strategic optionality disappears.

Reality

Near-term execution consumes all attention. Second-order effects are invisible in planning. Strategy collapses into a sequence of reactions. The horizon shrinks without anyone deciding to shrink it.

## What It Looks Like In the Wild

Aggressive focus on immediate results prevents visibility into second-order consequences. Strategy discussions collapse into reaction management. Long-term positioning erodes without explicit decision to abandon it.

## Trigger Signals

  • Strategy discussions collapse into reaction
  • Second-order effects invisible in planning
  • Long-term positioning erodes silently
  • "We'll deal with that later" as default

## Why It Persists

Near-term results are measurable and rewarded. Long-term effects are uncertain and distant. The incentive structure privileges now over later.

## Common Misdiagnosis

  • "We need to be more agile"
  • "The market is moving fast"
  • "We'll get to strategy later"
  • "Execution is what matters right now"

## Cost of Ignoring

Long-term positioning erodes invisibly. Competitive advantage decays. The organization becomes reactive by default. Strategic optionality disappears.

Common Misdiagnosis

  • "We need to be more agile"
  • "The market is moving fast"
  • "We'll get to strategy later"
  • "Execution is what matters right now"

## Cost of Ignoring

Long-term positioning erodes invisibly. Competitive advantage decays. The organization becomes reactive by default. Strategic optionality disappears.

Cost of Ignoring

Long-term positioning erodes invisibly. Competitive advantage decays. The organization becomes reactive by default. Strategic optionality disappears.

A functional field note. Observational, not prescriptive. · DRI™ Coherence Taxonomy